Monday, March 7, 2011

Jewson Novice Chase Thursday

This is a new 2 1/2 mile novice conditions chase specially designed to weaken both the Arkle and the RSA and totally confuse ante post betting on the novice chases. The horse I have liked for this for a long time is Paul Nolan's Noble Prince. I've had a good bet at 10/1 but still consider him value at the current 7/1. For me he's a much better horse at 2 1/2 miles than he is at the 2 miles he's been running over this winter. All his best hurdles form is at that trip and he seems to get a bit outpaced at a crucial stage at the highest level over 2 miles. He ran well in a County Hurdle despite being hampered and must go well here. He will have a tough rival though in the Hobbs horse Wishful Thinking who was impressive in a handicap over the course last time. 17/3/11 I have added a small each way bet today on Radium at 33/1 who has previous Festival form and who might just be getting it together over fences. Noble Prince won 4/1 Radium 4th 33/1.

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