Friday, August 31, 2012

A New Beginning

I decided a month or so ago to concentrate solely on Irish racing due to increasing time constraints. From now on I'll try and cover all Irish meetings and just the odd big race or Festival in the U.K.
I'm going to post my bets here for the forseeable.

Killarney
7.25
Orpheus Valley made a fine return from a long absence at the Galway Festival leading until the dip then tiring- his jumping was superb. He can be competitive having been dropped nicely for his time off- this trip and ground are ideal.
2 pts win 1 pt place 12/1 Ladbrokes
2nd 12/1 +1 pt.

5.20
I'll be looking to back Free To Dream at anything around the current 8/1- he'll love the trip and going here more than most of these. Fav hard to beat but I had FTD in about 5/1. 2 pts win. 8/1+
Unpl -2 pts

5.50
two outsiders to keep in mind on Betfair especially
Chino Valdes- chance on a few runs in similar conditions 14/1+ needed
Peccatorum- off a while but has gone well fresh 20/1+ needed.

6.55
I like this race for a bet because I'm beginning to worry about Shinrock Paddy's resolution- too many seconds for my liking lately and he takes out a big chunk of this market. I may well be tempted to put in an in-running lay at odds-on on him.
Ballyadam Brook has had one poor chase but has a chance on his hurdles form and I like his front-running style around here. 8/1 Paddy Power 1.5 pts win 0.5 pts place.
Double Seven flopped last time but nice form chases and hurdles prior to that- 6/1 Paddy Power 2 pts win.
Chino Valdes the other one in the mix, can't fancy much else.
Ballyadam Brook won 10/3 + 12.8 pts Double Sevenunpl -2 pts

Down Royal
4.40
Dumbarton big at 8/1 Paddy Power 2 pts win.
Decent of the Flat and travelled well for a long way on his hurdles debut- will come on a lot for that.
Fell -2 pts
7.15
Willies Girl big at 12/1 2 pts win 1 pt place. Chucked in on chase form and even last hurdles effort behind Lady Olwyn (winner again since) gives her a big chance here.
Unpl 9/1 -3 pts.