Thursday, February 17, 2011

Newbury 18th February 2011

The refixing of last Saturday's meeting tragically lost following the electrocution of two horses in the parade ring gives us another chance to see informative pre-Cheltenham action.
In the Game Spirit Chase at 1.15 I am keen on Donald McCain's new recruit Sports Line at Ladbrokes 13/2. He is a free-going headstrong sort and pulled too hard on his first start for McCain at Exeter. That might just have taken the freshness off him and coming back a furlong is in his favour. Some of his form last year with Willie Mullins entitles him to go close here. Cornas may be better right-handed (all wins that way) Tchico Polos may not appreciate ground this soft and is better fresher, Take The Breeze surely needs further now and softish ground isn't ideal for Imsingingtheblues. French Opera is respected but might be tuning up for the Festival and at the prices Sports Line is preferred.
2 pts win Sports Line 13/2 Ladbrokes.
unpl 7/2 -2 pts.

In the Aon Chase at 12.45 I like Fair Along to give the favourite What A Friend something to think about. He is likely to get an easy lead here and is at his most dangerous under these conditions in small fields over fences. Paul Nicholls horse must give him 10lbs, and there may not be much between them.
2 pts win Fair Along 9/2 Boyles/Stan James
3rd 11/4 -2 pts.

The Totesport Trophy at 1.50 has an emasculated look and isn't as good a contest as last week. Furthermore a lot of the entries wouldn't have welcomed the rain that has fallen in the interim. For those reasons I think John Quinn's Recession Proof now offers value at 14/1. A classy Flat horse, he is lightly raced over hurdles and had a blowout on the all-weather over Christmas- this race has obviously been the target for some time.
2 pts win 1 pt place Recession Proof 14/1 Stan James.
Won 12/1 +31.5 pts.

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